A coronal magnetic flare precursor...: Difference between revisions

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observations have relied on precursor events involving one or more
observations have relied on precursor events involving one or more
properties of active regions, and more recently  
properties of active regions, and more recently  
[machine-learning algorithms]
[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learning machine-learning algorithms]
have been developed utilizing long series of observations.
have been developed utilizing long series of observations.
However, we still have not found an unambiguous feature that can
However, we still have not found an unambiguous feature that can
Line 28: Line 28:


Flares are believed to be due to  
Flares are believed to be due to  
[magnetic reconnection], whereby
[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetic_reconnection magnetic reconnection], whereby
magnetic field lines of opposite polarity squeeze together and reconfigure,
magnetic field lines of opposite polarity squeeze together and reconfigure,
releasing a large amount of energy as thermal energy and radiation.
releasing a large amount of energy as thermal energy and radiation.
This reconnection is expected to occur in the  
This reconnection is expected to occur in the  
[solar corona].
[https://spaceplace.nasa.gov/sun-corona/en/ solar corona].
Thus, it is only natural to expect that the coronal magnetic field would
Thus, it is only natural to expect that the coronal magnetic field would
show some precursor feature that allows flare forecasting.  
show some precursor feature that allows flare forecasting.  
Line 44: Line 44:
the magnetic field strength using the intensity ratios of a few
the magnetic field strength using the intensity ratios of a few
lines of  
lines of  
[Fe X] (formed at about 1 MK) observed by the Hinode/EIS
[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ionization Fe X] (formed at about 1 MK) observed by the Hinode/EIS
spectrometer (Ref. [1]).  
spectrometer (Ref. [1]).  
This technique utilizes the magnetic
This technique utilizes the magnetic
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Ref. [1] applied this technique to active region 10969 on 24 August 2007,  
Ref. [1] applied this technique to active region 10969 on 24 August 2007,  
using scans by the [EIS] spectrograph at a 22-min cadence.  
using scans by the [EIS] spectrograph at a 22-min cadence.  
A [GOES]  
A [https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/satellite/goes-r.html GOES]  
C2.0 flare (SOL2007-08-24T07:52) erupted during the fourth scan (Figure 1),  
C2.0 flare (SOL2007-08-24T07:52) erupted during the fourth scan (Figure 1),  
and lasted only a few minutes.  
and lasted only a few minutes.  
Line 100: Line 100:
plasmas around 1 MK will provide a precursor signature of flare
plasmas around 1 MK will provide a precursor signature of flare
events.  
events.  
However, much work still needs to be done:
If this works out favorably, an early warning for flare/CME occurrence
could emerge, and in any case this behavior is already quite
interesting technically as a tool for following coronal magnetic restructuring.
Much work still needs to be done:


Are MFEs common to flares?
* Are MFEs common to flares?
How much in advance of the flare event do MFEs emerge?
* How much in advance of the flare event do MFEs emerge?
Is MFE formation time correlated to the flare strength?
* Is MFE formation time correlated to the flare strength?
Can MFE formation be predicted?
* Can MFE formation be predicted?
Can MFEs be used as flare precursors in Space Weather forecasting?
* Can MFEs be used as flare precursors in Space Weather forecasting?


So far, only one flare has been studied, and many more events need to be  
So far, only one flare has been studied, and many more events need to be  
Line 113: Line 116:
== References ==
== References ==


[1] Landi, E., Hutton, R., Brage, T., & Li, W., Hinode/EIS measurements of active region magnetic fields, 2020, ApJ, 904, 87
[1] [https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2020ApJ...904...87L  "Hinode/EIS measurements of active region magnetic fields, 2020, ApJ, 904, 87"]


[2] Landi, E., Li, W., Brage, T., Hutton, R. Hinode/EIS coronal magnetic field measurements at the onset of a C2 flare, 2021, ApJ, 913, 1
[2] [https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2021ApJ...913....1L "Landi, E., Li, W., Brage, T., Hutton, R. Hinode/EIS coronal magnetic field measurements at the onset of a C2 flare, 2021, ApJ, 913, 1"]

Latest revision as of 14:44, 16 January 2023


Nugget
Number: 442
1st Author: Enrico LANDI
2nd Author:
Published: January 16, 2023
Next Nugget: TBD
Previous Nugget: A slow HOPE with microwave context



Introduction

Flares are one of the major manifestations of solar activity, and result in the emission of large quantities of high energy radiation (X-rays, EUV) which have multiple consequences. In fact, such radiation alters the Earths ionosphere, thus disrupting communication systems, can affect the trajectories of satellites, and poses a serious threat to the health of astronauts. In order to minimize such effects, it is necessary to predict the occurrence of a flare. Several methods have been proposed: those based on observations have relied on precursor events involving one or more properties of active regions, and more recently machine-learning algorithms have been developed utilizing long series of observations. However, we still have not found an unambiguous feature that can be used to predict the imminent explosion of a flare.

Flares are believed to be due to magnetic reconnection, whereby magnetic field lines of opposite polarity squeeze together and reconfigure, releasing a large amount of energy as thermal energy and radiation. This reconnection is expected to occur in the solar corona. Thus, it is only natural to expect that the coronal magnetic field would show some precursor feature that allows flare forecasting. However, measurements of coronal magnetic fields are scarce and very difficult to make, so that we do not have systematic measurements of the main actor in flare events.

A new diagnostic tool

Recently, a brand-new diagnostic technique has been developed to measure the magnetic field strength using the intensity ratios of a few lines of Fe X (formed at about 1 MK) observed by the Hinode/EIS spectrometer (Ref. [1]). This technique utilizes the magnetic sensitivity of an Fe X spectral line to measure the magnetic field strength in the 1 MK corona, and allows for the continuous monitoring of active regions to study whether coronal magnetic fields show any precursor activity prior to a flare. Plasma at such a temperature is present in every [active region].

Ref. [1] applied this technique to active region 10969 on 24 August 2007, using scans by the [EIS] spectrograph at a 22-min cadence. A GOES C2.0 flare (SOL2007-08-24T07:52) erupted during the fourth scan (Figure 1), and lasted only a few minutes. Thus the evolution of the coronal magnetic field could be monitored for almost an hour before and after the event. Averaging the intensity of spectral lines along the spectrometer's slit revealed that the solar flare hae erupted at a location where a large "Magnetic Field Enhancement" (MFE) took place, in which the magnetic field strength reached almost 500 G (Figure 2).

Figure 1: Image of the flare in AR 10969 made using the intensities of ions formed at different temperatures: Fe X (1.1 MK), Fe XVI (2.7 MK), Fe XXIV (18 MK), as well as the magnetic field strength. The Magnetic Field Enhancement is located at around (-680, -140). The white contour indicates the area where the emission was averaged along the vertical (slit) direction to produce the light curves in Figure 2. This image corresponds to the observation carried out during the flare; three more images were obtained before the flare, and three more after the flare.

The spectral scan taken before the flare event showed that at the location of the MFE no measurable magnetic field was present, indicating that the MFE formed within 22 minutes of the flare event. Also, after the flare the MFE was completely dissipated (Figure 2). The magnetic energy contained by the MFE was estimated to be sufficient to power the entire flare.

Figure 2: The magnetic field strength in three consecutive rasters: the one right before the flare, the one including the flare, and the one right after the flare. The X axis reports time after 7:00 UT.

Conclusions

These results suggest that the coronal magnetic field in plasmas around 1 MK will provide a precursor signature of flare events. If this works out favorably, an early warning for flare/CME occurrence could emerge, and in any case this behavior is already quite interesting technically as a tool for following coronal magnetic restructuring. Much work still needs to be done:

  • Are MFEs common to flares?
  • How much in advance of the flare event do MFEs emerge?
  • Is MFE formation time correlated to the flare strength?
  • Can MFE formation be predicted?
  • Can MFEs be used as flare precursors in Space Weather forecasting?

So far, only one flare has been studied, and many more events need to be investigated before answering these questions.

References

[1] "Hinode/EIS measurements of active region magnetic fields, 2020, ApJ, 904, 87"

[2] "Landi, E., Li, W., Brage, T., Hutton, R. Hinode/EIS coronal magnetic field measurements at the onset of a C2 flare, 2021, ApJ, 913, 1"